What Makes Us Tick
Our Mission
We help our clients navigate the highly dynamic and complex macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape in pursuit of their most important financial goals.
Our Value Proposition
We help make the intangibles of wealth management more tangible by delivering:
- Our proprietary Cairns 360 Process
- A panoramic wealth management plan
- Strategies documented and summarized in a concise, action-oriented format
- Ongoing reviews and updates to continuously advance your progress
- Macroeconomic and geopolitical insights that help discern important directional signals from chaotic daily noise
- Objective advice, informed by independent thinking, cultivated over 4+ decades of experience
Often, financial plans take a fragmented, piecemeal approach, focusing on parts rather than the whole. But wealth doesn't exist in silos and your wealth management strategies shouldn't either.
The Cairns 360 Process is our proprietary and panoramic approach to wealth management. It is also wordplay with our last name. A cairn is a man-made pile of stones historically used as navigational markers across the Scottish Highlands. Oftentimes they are built on vantage points offering a panoramic view of available routes. Likewise, the Cairns 360 Process offers clients a vantage point, a full view of the financial landscape before choosing a direction.
We believe that when clients clearly see where they are, where they're headed, and options for how they can get there, they make better decisions which promotes greater peace of mind. That's exactly what our panoramic Cairns 360 Process is designed to provide: clarity, confidence, and a trusted path forward, knowing your plan reflects your complete financial picture.
What Makes Us Different?
This is a question we're frequently asked. The short answer is that we're rarely satisfied being part of the crowd, especially when it comes to investment strategies. Our experience has shown that once strategies become consensus favorites the early mover opportunity has already occurred, and mediocre outcomes are likely to follow.
A core belief of ours is that a wealth management plan is the vehicle that moves us toward our financial goals, and in that context, investment returns power that vehicle forward. Here in California, we are all too familiar with traffic sometimes, really bad traffic – which, of course, delays our arrival to where we're going. Likewise, overcrowded traffic in consensus driven investment strategies can lead to stalled performance.
Rather than merely blaming traffic as the problem and accepting the delay, we view the task of monitoring developing investment traffic patterns as an important part of our process. And not just monitoring these patterns but being both willing and capable of shifting gears and changing lanes as developments warrant – even to the point of changing to a different route altogether.
For instance, we firmly believe the world is experiencing a generational transition in its macroeconomic and geopolitical ordering. As such, we believe this transition will impact financial markets in a way that renders previously successful investment strategies, those which have become consensus favorites, much less successful going forward.
The bottom line is that we're not here to play the same tune as everyone else. We're here to help you navigate the road ahead with clarity, agility, and a strategy built for the terrain we believe is coming. If your advisor isn't actively helping you shift lanes in a changing world, you might want to ask: are they driving or just along for the ride?
Our Philosophy
We are guided by our ten principles of successful wealth management:
Wealth Management is an ongoing process that involves multiple disciplines. Specialized knowledge and experience go a long way in capturing the benefits of these varied disciplines. If you do not feel comfortably competent with some of these specializations, you may wish to retain qualified professionals for assistance. Cairns Wealth Management identifies the following elements of the wealth management process:
Specific goals answer the 6 Ws - Who, What, Where, When, Which, and Why. The "Which" may be a new W for some. In the context of specific goals, it asks Which requirements or constraints may become obstacles in pursuit of the goal.
Measurable goals are defined with precise times, amounts, or other units. They answer How questions, such as How Much? How Many? How Fast?
Attainable goals stretch your limits. They are attainable but challenging. Think of the quote, "Aim for the moon, even if you miss, you'll land in the stars!"
Relevant goals align with your broader values and objectives. They are the opposite of haphazard or scattered goals.
Time-bound goals have specific deadlines.
The SMART framework can apply to goals in all areas of your life, including professional, financial, personal health, relationships, leisure, personal growth, and spirituality. To further enhance the likelihood of success, think more of the process required than the outcome desired. You have more control over the process.
The 30-day Treasury Bill yield is considered the risk-free rate of return. There is no risk that you will not be repaid. If the Treasury does not have dollars to repay you, they will print them. However, when federal taxation and inflation are subtracted from the yield, your purchasing power has not changed. You have received a real yield of close to 0%. To receive a higher yield generally requires investing in riskier ventures. So, to say, "I don't want to take any risk" is synonymous with, "I don't want to make any money".
A famous quote states, “There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades seem to happen”. This quote can be applied to both macroeconomics and geopolitics. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union the macroeconomic landscape had few bumps in it. Over time, it became a less obvious consideration for investment decisions. Geopolitical risks were a bit higher in that timeframe, but not meaningfully so. However, since the outbreak of COVID-19, time seems to have accelerated greatly, and both macroeconomics and geopolitics matter again.
This principle refers to risks beyond investment markets. The world is rapidly changing and tactics criminals use for attacking your wealth are evolving too. Instances of cybersecurity breaches such as identity theft, ransomware, and impersonation are rapidly rising. There is also a higher threat of litigation as your wealth grows. Do any of these issues apply to you? If so, what is your plan to protect you and your family?
This may require the creation of separate pools of capital for different goals. For instance, if you are investing for the education of a young child you may wish to accept a greater degree of risk in the early years of that program. Whereas if you are at the same time providing income for your retirement you may wish to employ a very different strategy for that pool of capital. Whatever the case happens to be for you, the investment portfolio fueling your plan should be customized to your SMART goals.
There will be bumps in the road during the journey towards your goals. Sometimes these bumps initially feel catastrophic, especially when amplified by the nonstop noise of media. But even a major market correction will likely have minimal impact on the success of a well-structured long-term plan. These types of bumps are built into the assumptions of the plan. Regular reviews can help create peace of mind knowing you are still on track for your goals.
Rebalancing to your target allocations periodically is a methodical way of selling high and buying low.
Refusing to take a capital gain can lead to over-concentrations in a position that creates greater risk than rebalancing and paying the tax. Huge profits in the internet boom of the late 90s were subsequently lost by some investors because they couldn't bring themselves to pay a large capital gains tax. Was the complete loss of the gain worth not paying the tax?
Wealth Management requires a high degree of competence in multiple disciplines. A tactic that makes sense in the context of one specific discipline may create a sub-optimal outcome in the light of another. To enhance the likelihood of successfully achieving the SMART goals of your wealth management plan, it helps to have the different professionals involved in your situation talking with each other periodically.